Middle East Rainfall Anomaly November 2016

Middle East Rainfall Anomaly November 2016

Precipitation levels for November 2016 were analysed and compared to levels at the same time the previous year and the long-term average (precipitation levels over the last 15 years).

The results of the analysis indicate that rainfall in November 2016 was in general lower than the previous year and slightly below the 15 year average for the month of November.

At present, Jordan and Iraq are the most affected, with Northern Iraq in particular, well below last year, and slightly below the long-term average. Meanwhile, rainfall over northern Syria and southeast of Iraq is slightly above the previous year as well as above the 15-year average.

The rainfall situation over Jordan has shown a decrease in rainfall slightly lower than November 2015, but normal when compared to the last 15 years.

Rainfall over north of Syria and the south corner of Iraq is above the previous year as well as above the 15

year average, so conditions at the moment seem relatively good for crop production in these areas.

Lebanon rainfall for November is slightly below the 15-year average and also less than the previous year.

Improved rainfall is needed across the region as planting for winter wheat and barley is ongoing and will continue into December. Short term forecasts are good for December, and RFSAN will continue to monitor the rainfall over the coming months.